World Money RoadMap

Registro de aciertos

Cada punto a vigilar y cada pronóstico de un informe se comprueba en el informe siguiente. Los fallos también quedan registrados.

16Acierto
1Fallo
0Acierto parcial
4Sin puntuar

Pronósticos anteriores y resultados

ComprobadoPronóstico o punto a vigilarQué pasóResultadoPronóstico → Comprobación
2026-10-31AMD closes Oct 30 below its Oct 29 close of $566.42AMD fell 11.78% by 1:41 PM ET on Intel's guide and closed down about 12%, well below the $566.42 lineAcierto– → 30/10 Semanal
2026-10-30S&P 500 closes Oct 30 below its Oct 29 close of 7,720.39S&P 500 closed at 7,580.07 (-140.32, -1.82%, AP final), below the 7,720.39 line; worst day since JuneAcierto– → –
2026-10-30Nasdaq Composite closes Oct 30 below its Oct 29 close of 26,184.72Nasdaq Composite closed at 25,437.00 (-747.73, -2.86%, AP final), below the 26,184.72 lineAcierto– → –
2026-10-30Intel closes Oct 30 below its Oct 29 close of $92.07Intel fell 28.6% (AP final), its worst day since 1974, closing below the $92.07 lineAcierto29/10 Vespertino → –
2026-10-30Amazon closes Oct 30 below its Oct 29 close of $243.79Amazon fell 1.4% (AP final), below the $243.79 line, after recovering most of a 7.2% premarket dropAcierto29/10 Vespertino → –
2026-10-30Bank of Japan holds its policy rate at 1.25%The BOJ kept its short-term policy rate at 1.25% on Oct 30 (NHK), meeting the criterionAcierto29/10 Matutino → –
2026-10-29Nasdaq Composite closes Oct 29 below its Oct 28 close of 26,549.85Nasdaq Composite closed at 26,188.08 (-1.36%, Reuters preliminary), below the 26,549.85 lineAcierto29/10 Matutino → 29/10 Vespertino
2026-10-29ServiceNow closes Oct 29 down more than 5% from its Oct 28 closeServiceNow closed at $109.67 (-26.95%), clearing the -5% lineAcierto29/10 Matutino → 29/10 Vespertino
2026-10-29Eli Lilly closes Oct 29 above its Oct 28 closeEli Lilly closed at $1,373.00 (+6.57%)Acierto29/10 Matutino → 29/10 Vespertino
2026-10-29Alphabet closes Oct 29 below its Oct 28 close of $324.89Alphabet closed at $283.82 (-12.64%), below $324.89Acierto29/10 Matutino → 29/10 Vespertino
2026-10-29ECB holds its deposit rate at 2.50%ECB kept the deposit rate at 2.50% (ECB statement)Acierto28/10 Vespertino → 29/10 Vespertino
2026-10-29Microsoft closes Oct 29 above its Oct 28 close of $531.01Microsoft closed at $530.14 (-0.16%), $0.87 short of the $531.01 line
Por qué falló / qué cambiamosMisread evidence: we relied on the after-hours gain (about +4%) and the beat, but Alphabet's slide weighed on Big Tech and the premarket gain faded during the session. Next time, next-day calls on reporting stocks need Nasdaq 100 futures and the stock's peer group pointing the same way as the after-hours move.
Fallo28/10 Vespertino → 29/10 Vespertino
2026-10-29Q3 U.S. GDP (advance) grows 3.0% or more annualizedAdvance estimate showed 3.4% annualized growth (Dow Jones consensus 3.1%), clearing the 3.0% barAcierto29/10 Vespertino → –
2026-10-29Q3 U.S. GDP (advance) grows 2.5% or more annualizedAdvance estimate showed 3.4% annualized growth (Dow Jones consensus 3.1%), clearing the 2.5% barAcierto28/10 Vespertino → –
2026-10-29Samsung Electronics' final Q3 operating profit lands within 3% of the 107.4 trillion won preliminary figureFinal operating profit of 107.44 trillion won, inside the 104.2-110.6 trillion won band; shares still fell 5.37% by late morning as no new buyback details cameAcierto29/10 Matutino → –
2026-10-28FOMC holds rates (futures priced a hold above 90%)Held at 3.75%-4.00% in a 10-2 vote (Cook and Hammack wanted a quarter-point hike); S&P 500 +0.3%, 10-year yield 5.02%Acierto28/10 Matutino → 28/10 Vespertino
2026-10-28Whether Samsung Electronics and SK hynix would follow the U.S. chip rally (SOX +3.6%)Samsung Electronics +9.01%, SK hynix +10.89% in SeoulAcierto28/10 Matutino → 28/10 Vespertino
2026-10-28SK hynix Q3 operating profit and shareholder returnsOperating profit of 83.33 trillion won beat expectations (about 76 trillion won); shares +10.89%Sin puntuarPunto a vigilar, sin dirección28/10 Matutino → 28/10 Vespertino
2026-10-28U.S. 10-year yield at 5%Closed at 4.99%, just under 5%Sin puntuarPunto a vigilar, sin dirección27/10 Vespertino → 28/10 Matutino
2026-10-27Whether U.S. indexes would rebound after two down weeksS&P 500 +0.70%, Nasdaq +0.82% to start the weekSin puntuarPunto a vigilar, sin dirección26/10 Vespertino → 27/10 Matutino
2026-10-27Verizon earnings (pre-market)Adjusted EPS of $1.31 (vs $1.21 a year earlier); full-year guidance raisedSin puntuarPunto a vigilar, sin dirección26/10 Vespertino → 27/10 Matutino

Acierto y Fallo solo se aplican a pronósticos con dirección; 'Sin puntuar' marca puntos señalados sin dirección antes de las nuevas reglas (29 de octubre). Tasa de acierto = aciertos ÷ (aciertos + fallos).

Próximos pronósticos (aún sin comprobar)

Pronósticos publicados por adelantado. El criterio se fija antes y se aplica tal cual en la fecha de comprobación.

No hay pronósticos pendientes de comprobar. Llegarán con el próximo informe.

Tasa de acierto y resultados por área

PeriodoFechas (según comprobación)Tasa de acierto direccionalAcierto / Fallo
Últimos 7 días2026-10-28 – 2026-10-3194%16 / 1
Últimos 30 días2026-10-28 – 2026-10-3194%16 / 1
Total acumulado2026-10-28 – 2026-10-3194%16 / 1

Tasa de acierto = aciertos ÷ (aciertos + fallos). Se excluyen los aciertos parciales y los puntos sin puntuar. Con pocos pronósticos, uno o dos resultados cambian mucho la tasa: mira también el número. El registro empezó el 28 de octubre de 2026.

Resultados por área

ÁreaAciertos / Fallos / Parciales%
Bolsa de EE. UU.3 / 0 / 0100%
Semiconductores2 / 0 / 0100%
Tasas de interés3 / 0 / 0100%
Resultados6 / 1 / 086%
Datos económicos2 / 0 / 0100%

Resultados por confianza

ConfianzaAciertos / Fallos / Parciales%
Alta5 / 0 / 0100%
Media10 / 1 / 091%